Distressed Solar · Underperformance Signal Screenv0
NATIONAL·UTILITY-SCALE PV·≥20 MWAC·TRAILING 12MO·SNAPSHOT 2026-03-31
1286
Plants screened
≥20 MWac · CONUS
216
Underperformers
Gap < −15% vs peers
20.4GW
At-risk capacity
Sum of nameplate AC
-23%
Median gap
Among underperformers
REGION
SIGNAL
MW THRESHOLD
216/ 216PLANTS
NERC REGION SUMMARY · 6 OF 6CLICK ROW TO FOCUS MAP
RegionScreenedUnderMedian gapMW at riskCurtail %Dominant signal
WECCWestern42790-30.4%8,21859%CURTAILMENT
SERCSoutheast47865-26.4%5,3840%CHRONIC
TRETexas15023-26.6%3,87626%CHRONIC
RFCReliabilityFirst12717-35.8%1,2480%CHRONIC
MROMidwest5910-29.3%1,2170%CHRONIC
NPCCNortheast348-25.1%2640%CHRONIC
SERC: highest residual signal · zero curtailment overlap
UNDERPERFORMERS · DOT MAP
National geography of the gap
216 PLANTS
COLOR = SIGNAL · SIZE = MWAC
SIGNAL
Gap ≤ -25%
Gap -15% to -25%
Curtailment-suspect
SIZE = MWAC
WECC (West)
Curtailment-heavy: structural, not fixable
59% curtailment-suspect
WECC underperformers skew toward California spring oversupply curtailment. Gap signals here reflect structural grid congestion; equipment interventions are unlikely to close the gap. Median gap: -30.4% among 90 underperformers.
vs.
SERC (Southeast)
Zero curtailment overlap: most actionable
0% curtailment-suspect
SERC has no curtailment flags in this screen. Every underperformer here carries an unexplained residual gap; the signal is consistent with module or inverter degradation. Median gap: -26.4% among 65 underperformers. These are the most actionable acquisition targets.
GAP DISTRIBUTION · BY NERC REGION
Where the underperformers actually live
1.5-PT BIN WIDTH · AMBER LINE = -15% THRESHOLD
CLICK FACET TO FOCUS TABLE + MAP
WECCWestern
427 screened90 under21% tail
-15%-30%-15%0%15%
SERCSoutheast
478 screened65 under14% tail
-15%-30%-15%0%15%
TRETexas
150 screened23 under15% tail
-15%-30%-15%0%15%
RFCReliabilityFirst
127 screened17 under13% tail
-15%-30%-15%0%15%
MROMidwest
59 screened10 under17% tail
-15%-30%-15%0%15%
NPCCNortheast
34 screened8 under24% tail
-15%-30%-15%0%15%
CURTAILMENT-SUSPECT (left tail)RESIDUAL UNDERPERFORMANCEPOPULATION (passing)
216plants · sorted by gap pct 12mo
PAGE 1 / 9
RankPlantSTNERCMWacGap 12mo↑DistressSusp. SignalCurtail?
001
Prairie Solar (VA)
Prairie Solar, LLC (VA)
VASERC20-100.0%77CHRONIC—▸
002
Alta Luna
TPE Alta Luna, LLC
NMWECC28-99.5%75VINTAGE—▸
003
New Orleans Solar Station
Entergy New Orleans, LLC
LASERC20-96.5%70CHRONIC—▸
004
Russell
Sunflower Electric Power Corp
KSMRO20-95.0%77CHRONIC—▸
005
Copperton Solar Plant No. 1
Kennecott Utah Copper
UTWECC30-89.8%65CHRONIC—▸
006
North Ridge Solar
Dominion Renewable Energy
VARFC20-86.2%65CHRONIC—▸
007
Grizzly Ridge Solar
Grizzly Ridge Solar LLC
TXTRE100-79.8%77CHRONIC—▸
008
LeGore Bridge Solar Center
LeGore Bridge Solar Center, LLC
MDRFC20-79.6%77CHRONIC—▸
009
Stillwater Solar PV II
Enel Green Power NA, Inc.
NVWECC20-74.0%70CHRONIC—▸
010
Blairs Valley Solar Project
CCE Genco, LLC
PARFC20-71.4%65CHRONIC—▸
011
Redwood 4 Solar Farm
54 KR 8me LLC
CAWECC20-66.4%75CURTAILMENTYES▸
012
Little Bear 4
Little Bear Solar 4, LLC (Longroad)
CAWECC50-60.0%65CURTAILMENTYES▸
013
Bookers Mill Solar
Dominion Energy Inc.
VASERC127-58.7%65CHRONIC—▸
014
San Joaquin Solar
GASNA 6P, LLC
CAWECC21-57.6%70CURTAILMENTYES▸
015
River Trail Solar, LLC
River Trail Solar, LLC
VASERC20-57.4%65CHRONIC—▸
016
Stroud Solar Station
Pacific Gas & Electric Co.
CAWECC20-56.2%75CURTAILMENTYES▸
017
Giffen Solar Park
Giffen Solar Park, LLC
CAWECC20-55.6%75CURTAILMENTYES▸
018
Guernsey Solar Station
Pacific Gas & Electric Co.
CAWECC20-54.9%75CURTAILMENTYES▸
019
Alpaugh North
RWE Clean Energy
CAWECC20-54.9%75CURTAILMENTYES▸
020
Hazlehurst II
SR South Loving, LLC
GASERC53-54.8%75VINTAGE—▸
021
Appaloosa Solar I
Greenbacker Renewable Energy Corporation
UTWECC200-54.6%55CHRONIC—▸
022
Corpus Refinery
Flint Hills Resources Corpus Christi LLC
TXTRE28-54.3%63CHRONIC—▸
023
Hyder Solar Hybrid
Arizona Public Service Co
AZWECC32-53.6%75VINTAGE—▸
024
Meadows PV 1
Fresh Air Energy XVIII, LLC
NCSERC20-52.7%87VINTAGE—▸
025
Corcoran Solar
RWE Clean Energy
CAWECC20-51.9%75CURTAILMENTYES▸